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World Cup 2026
FRA bayrağı

France

Group IEurope (UEFA)Pot 1

Model probabilities

Group rank
#1
Win group
59%
Advance
96%
Champion
14%

Monte Carlo (ELO) simulation. These are calibrated probabilities, not a promise of any result.

Group I — Sezi ranking

#Team1st2ndAdvance
1FRA bayrağıFrance59%28%96%2NOR bayrağıNorway28%40%86%3SEN bayrağıSenegal11%25%66%4IRQ bayrağıIraq1%7%20%

Sorted by probability of finishing first · Monte Carlo (ELO). Probability, not certainty.

Group stage fixtures

Matchday 1Jun 16 · 19:00 UTC
FRA bayrağıFrance3
SEN bayrağıSenegal1
Matchday 2Jun 22 · 21:00 UTC
FRA bayrağıFrance3
IRQ bayrağıIraq0
Matchday 3Jun 26 · 19:00 UTC
NOR bayrağıNorway
FRA bayrağıFrance

Group I rivals

SEN bayrağı
Senegal
Champion 0%
NOR bayrağı
Norway
Champion 3%
IRQ bayrağı
Iraq
Champion 0%

Sezi is a football intelligence product. Outputs are calibrated model readings — analysis and probability, not certainty.

Sezi · 2026 · Made for football intelligence.