1X2 win probability
Modelled home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Turkey's Süper Lig runs on rivalry-driven form swings — İstanbul derbies alone can reshape a title race — which makes recency and home advantage two of the most load-bearing inputs in a match model. Sezi weighs both explicitly rather than defaulting to season-long averages.
Every fixture gets a calibrated 1X2 probability — home, draw, away — from a Poisson-based score model and Monte Carlo simulation, plus both-teams-to-score and over/under 2.5 goals reads. Sezi started as a Süper Lig model before expanding to Europe's top leagues, so this is the league its calibration has been tested against longest.
Başakşehir·
GalatasarayHome17%Draw19%Away65%
KonyaHome39%Draw24%Away37%
Fenerbahçe·
BesiktHome65%Draw18%Away17%
Çorum FK·
EyüpHome41%Draw23%Away36%
Kasımpaşa·ASAmed SFKHome45%Draw23%Away32%
Kocaeli·
SamsunHome24%Draw23%Away53%
Trabzon·
GençlerbirliğiHome74%Draw16%Away10%
Rize·
AlanyaHome41%Draw28%Away32%
Göztepe·
GaziantepHome50%Draw24%Away26%Alanya·GöztepeHome34%Draw28%Away38%Besikt6–2Çorum FKSamsun0–2FenerbahçeBaşakşehir1–1KasımpaşaEyüp2–1AlanyaModelled home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Attacking and defensive output modelled per team — the backbone of every score forecast.
Most-likely scorelines, both-teams-to-score and over/under, ranked by probability.
Each prediction shows how sure the model is, so you can weigh strong reads against close calls.
Predictions are model-based statistical estimates for analysis, not guarantees. Outcomes can differ from the probabilities shown.