1X2 win probability
Calibrated home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Turkey's Süper Lig runs on rivalry-driven form swings — İstanbul derbies alone can reshape a title race — which makes recency and home advantage two of the most load-bearing inputs in a match model. Sezi weighs both explicitly rather than defaulting to season-long averages.
Every fixture gets a calibrated 1X2 probability — home, draw, away — from a Poisson-based score model and Monte Carlo simulation, plus both-teams-to-score and over/under 2.5 goals reads. Sezi started as a Süper Lig model before expanding to Europe's top leagues, so this is the league its calibration has been tested against longest.
No Süper Lig fixtures in the model's current window. Check back closer to matchday, or see the full predictions hub for other leagues.
Trabzon0–3Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Fenerbahçe3–3Eyüp
Antalya1–0Kocaeli
Kasımpaşa1–0Galatasaray
Kayseri2–1Konya
Calibrated home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Attacking and defensive output modelled per team — the backbone of every score forecast.
Most-likely scorelines, both-teams-to-score and over/under, ranked by probability.
Each prediction shows how sure the model is, so you can weigh strong reads against close calls.
Predictions are model-based statistical estimates for analysis, not guarantees. Outcomes can differ from the probabilities shown.