1X2 win probability
Calibrated home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Serie A rewards defensive organization as much as attacking talent, which makes low-scoring, tightly-matched fixtures common — exactly the kind of game where a raw form guess misleads and a probability distribution earns its keep. Sezi models each team's attacking and defensive output separately before combining them into a match forecast.
Every fixture carries a full 1X2 probability table — home, draw, away — from a Poisson-based score model plus Monte Carlo simulation, alongside both-teams-to-score and over/under 2.5 goals reads. Calibration is the only metric that matters here: when the model says 60%, that outcome should land close to 60% of the time.
No Serie A fixtures in the model's current window. Check back closer to matchday, or see the full predictions hub for other leagues.
Lecce1–0Genoa
Torino2–2Juvent
Verona0–2Roma
Milan1–2Cagliari
Cremone1–4Como
Calibrated home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Attacking and defensive output modelled per team — the backbone of every score forecast.
Most-likely scorelines, both-teams-to-score and over/under, ranked by probability.
Each prediction shows how sure the model is, so you can weigh strong reads against close calls.
Predictions are model-based statistical estimates for analysis, not guarantees. Outcomes can differ from the probabilities shown.