1X2 win probability
Calibrated home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
The Premier League's 20-club weekend rhythm rewards squads that convert territorial control into shots on target — which is exactly what an expected-goals model is built to separate from noise. Sezi reads current form, home advantage and underlying attacking output for every fixture, not just the last result.
Each match gets a full 1X2 read — home, draw and away probability — built from a Poisson-based score model and Monte Carlo simulation, plus both-teams-to-score and over/under 2.5 goals. No tips, no guaranteed winners: a calibrated probability and the numbers behind it.
No Premier League fixtures in the model's current window. Check back closer to matchday, or see the full predictions hub for other leagues.
Man City1–2Aston Villa
Fulham2–0Newcastle
Liverpool1–1Brentford
Crystal Palace1–2Arsenal
Tottenham1–0Everton
Calibrated home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Attacking and defensive output modelled per team — the backbone of every score forecast.
Most-likely scorelines, both-teams-to-score and over/under, ranked by probability.
Each prediction shows how sure the model is, so you can weigh strong reads against close calls.
Predictions are model-based statistical estimates for analysis, not guarantees. Outcomes can differ from the probabilities shown.