1X2 win probability
Modelled home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
The Premier League's 20-club weekend rhythm rewards squads that convert territorial control into shots on target — which is exactly what an expected-goals model is built to separate from noise. Sezi reads current form, home advantage and underlying attacking output for every fixture, not just the last result.
Each match gets a full 1X2 read — home, draw and away probability — built from a Poisson-based score model and Monte Carlo simulation, plus both-teams-to-score and over/under 2.5 goals. No tips, no guaranteed winners: a calibrated probability and the numbers behind it.
Ipswich·
LiverpoolHome12%Draw15%Away73%
Newcastle·
BournemouthHome40%Draw23%Away37%
Brentford·
SunderlandHome59%Draw20%Away21%
Brighton·
LeedsHome59%Draw21%Away20%
Fulham·
Crystal PalaceHome45%Draw25%Away31%
Man City·
Coventry CityHome78%Draw12%Away10%
Nott'm Forest·
TottenhamHome52%Draw21%Away27%
Hull·
Aston VillaHome27%Draw19%Away54%
Everton·
Man UtdHome36%Draw26%Away38%
Arsenal·
ChelseaHome64%Draw20%Away16%Aston Villa0–1ArsenalMan Utd5–2IpswichSunderland1–0FulhamLeeds1–1BrentfordChelsea4–3BrightonModelled home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Attacking and defensive output modelled per team — the backbone of every score forecast.
Most-likely scorelines, both-teams-to-score and over/under, ranked by probability.
Each prediction shows how sure the model is, so you can weigh strong reads against close calls.
Predictions are model-based statistical estimates for analysis, not guarantees. Outcomes can differ from the probabilities shown.