1X2 win probability
Calibrated home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
The Bundesliga runs the highest average goals-per-game of Europe's top five leagues, driven by high pressing and vertical transitions — a pace that makes over/under and both-teams-to-score markets especially informative alongside the standard win-draw-away split. Sezi's model accounts for that tempo directly in its expected-goals inputs.
Every fixture gets a calibrated home/draw/away probability from a Poisson-based score model and Monte Carlo simulation, plus most-likely scorelines and goals-market reads. The output is a probability and the data behind it, never a guaranteed result.
No Bundesliga fixtures in the model's current window. Check back closer to matchday, or see the full predictions hub for other leagues.
SC Paderborn 072–1Wolfsburg
Wolfsburg0–0SC Paderborn 07
St. Pauli1–3Wolfsburg
Freiburg4–1Leipzig
Bayern5–1Köln
Calibrated home, draw and away probabilities for every fixture — a full read, not a single tip.
Attacking and defensive output modelled per team — the backbone of every score forecast.
Most-likely scorelines, both-teams-to-score and over/under, ranked by probability.
Each prediction shows how sure the model is, so you can weigh strong reads against close calls.
Predictions are model-based statistical estimates for analysis, not guarantees. Outcomes can differ from the probabilities shown.